Trump Faces Surprising Poll Results in Key Swing States from Rasmussen
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Donald Trump frequently highlights polling results from Rasmussen Reports, a polling organization known for leaning right, according to AllSides media bias ratings. The former president often shares these polls on his Truth Social account, where they typically show him with a commanding lead over Vice President Kamala Harris.
Earlier this month, however, a Rasmussen poll surprised many by showing Trump with only a five-point lead in a national vote review. On Sunday, the same MAGA-friendly polling group released new results that indicate Trump is facing a much tighter race in critical swing states. The poll revealed that Trump is leading in Arizona and Pennsylvania by just one point each, while Harris has a slight edge in Michigan, leading by one point.
These results left many political observers taken aback. Conservative commentator and Iraq War veteran Peter Henlein called it “the worst poll for Trump” he had seen during this election cycle, emphasizing the significance of the results coming from Rasmussen. “Because it is Rasmussen, which acts more like a MAGA influencer than a professional polling firm,” Heinlein noted. “And they have him up only 1 in AZ and PA, and down 1 MI. From anyone else this is a whatever poll, but not from Rasmussen.”
Legal analyst Jeffrey Evan Gold added to the conversation, suggesting that the results might actually understate Harris’s strength. “Add 5 points to any Democrat,” Gold advised, hinting at the possibility that Rasmussen’s numbers could still be skewed in Trump’s favor.
Norman Ornstein, an emeritus scholar at the Koch-funded American Enterprise Institute, also weighed in, drawing a comparison between the credibility of Rasmussen polls and Trump’s relationship with the truth. “Rasmussen is to polls what Trump is to truth,” Ornstein commented, underscoring his skepticism of the results.
Michael McDonald, a professor at the University of Florida specializing in American elections, kept his reaction brief and pointed: “Lol. Rasmussen.” Sean Colarossi, formerly with PoliticusUSA, pointed out that the results were surprisingly positive for Harris given the source. “Kind of great results for her — winning PA and MI in the full field — given the pollster,” he noted.
The unexpected results from Rasmussen, a polling firm usually favorable to Trump, suggest that the race in key swing states may be far closer than previously thought, raising questions about the former president’s grip on these crucial battlegrounds as the election draws nearer.
